Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 9.195852 10.723152 12.392375 14.347758 16.570947 19.015268 21.901305
2026-01-25 6.427254 8.439699 10.870658 14.002189 17.905701 22.585757 28.593416
2026-02-01 4.808802 6.954471 9.762912 13.660611 18.874447 25.545745 34.654029
2026-02-08 3.669686 5.774700 8.727813 13.093948 19.288451 27.649079 39.647124
2026-02-15 2.896778 4.919418 7.938245 12.656747 19.701088 29.652008 44.545447
2026-02-22 2.506514 4.547388 7.759763 13.022902 21.222246 33.249157 51.879600
2026-03-01 2.202032 4.247505 7.628435 13.409913 22.768099 36.962292 59.627141
2026-03-08 1.812995 3.727158 7.054527 12.997924 22.996418 38.677353 64.479722
2026-03-15 1.518700 3.318469 6.600151 12.706596 23.353760 40.573475 69.695566
2026-03-22 1.403912 3.227723 6.687393 13.344331 25.293530 45.103596 79.349673
2026-03-29 1.276680 3.087914 6.660886 13.765510 26.884020 49.159384 88.487652
2026-04-05 1.126679 2.872090 6.456591 13.826817 27.830233 52.186248 96.102401
2026-04-12 0.978650 2.646063 6.227066 13.866671 28.841966 55.575591 104.884535
2026-04-19 0.815646 2.353539 5.822121 13.523390 29.133588 57.784244 111.912714
2026-04-26 0.680856 2.096850 5.449422 13.190623 29.400874 59.959352 119.035615
2026-05-03 0.555197 1.830677 5.006620 12.640970 29.165383 61.168166 124.480234
2026-05-10 0.458748 1.617436 4.647217 12.217131 29.126319 62.719696 130.633387
2026-05-17 0.416550 1.550112 4.632268 12.572032 30.751080 67.592001 143.332375
2026-05-24 0.380039 1.490749 4.627141 12.947196 32.451095 72.728463 156.856809
2026-05-31 0.316999 1.328089 4.320008 12.547817 32.396922 74.332624 163.613894
2026-06-07 0.268034 1.197465 4.074958 12.265434 32.569888 76.399932 171.401502
2026-06-14 0.254075 1.188349 4.174852 12.883617 34.886610 83.096588 188.892794
2026-06-21 0.234844 1.154050 4.194670 13.291943 36.742091 88.934965 204.967050